Vanguard Short Term Treasury Etf Performance

VGSH Etf  USD 58.65  0.02  0.03%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0023, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Short Term Treasury are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
1
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2
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12/18/2025
3
Level Financial Advisors Increases Stock Position in Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF VGSH
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4
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5
Wealth Dimensions Group Ltd. Grows Stake in Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF VGSH
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6
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7
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF declares monthly distribution of 0.1854
01/30/2026

Vanguard Short Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,808  in Vanguard Short Term Treasury on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  57.00  from holding Vanguard Short Term Treasury or generate 0.98% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Short Term Treasury is currently generating 0.0163% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.0485% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of etfs are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Short is expected to generate 4.61 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 15.64 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Vanguard Short Term Treasury extending back to November 23, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Vanguard Short stands at 58.65, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 58.67 and the lowest price hitting 58.63 during the day.
3 y Volatility
1.87
200 Day MA
58.6891
1 y Volatility
1.13
50 Day MA
58.764
Inception Date
2009-11-19
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vanguard Short Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 58.65 90 days 58.65 
about 7.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Short to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.07 (This Vanguard Short Term Treasury probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Short has a beta of 0.0023. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Short Term Treasury will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Short Term Treasury has an alpha of 0.0018, implying that it can generate a 0.001841 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.6058.6558.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8553.9064.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.6458.6958.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.5158.5858.64
Details

Vanguard Short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Short Term Treasury, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.78

Vanguard Short Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Short Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF declares monthly distribution of 0.1854
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

Vanguard Short Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Short, and Vanguard Short fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Etf performance.

About Vanguard Short Performance

By evaluating Vanguard Short's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Vanguard Short's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Vanguard Short has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Short has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg US Treasury 1-3 Year Index. Short-Term Govt is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF declares monthly distribution of 0.1854
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments
When determining whether Vanguard Short Term offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vanguard Short's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vanguard Short Term Treasury Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vanguard Short Term Treasury Etf:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vanguard Short Term Treasury. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Investors evaluate Vanguard Short Term using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Vanguard Short's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Vanguard Short's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Vanguard Short's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.